The Golden Rule in the neoclassical (Solow) growth model identifies the optimal level of capital accumulation that maximizes steady-state per capita consumption. Introduced by Edmund Phelps, it provides a benchmark for evaluating whether an economy’s saving rate is too high or too low for intergenerational welfare maximization234.
Concept and Derivation
In the Solow model, the steady-state capital per worker () is determined by the balance of investment () and capital depreciation () plus population growth ():
Per capita consumption () in steady state is:
To maximize , the Golden Rule condition requires the marginal product of capital (MPK) to equal the sum of population growth and depreciation rates:
This ensures that the marginal benefit of additional capital equals its marginal cost (depreciation and dilution due to population growth)245.
Implications
Optimal Saving Rate:The Golden Rule defines the saving rate () that achieves . If the actual saving rate () exceeds , the economy over-accumulates capital, reducing long-run consumption (dynamic inefficiency). Conversely, if , increasing saving enhances future consumption35.
Policy Guidance:
Governments can use taxes, subsidies, or pension reforms to adjust saving rates toward . For example, reducing excessive saving in capital-rich economies redirects resources to consumption35.
Intergenerational Equity:
The Golden Rule embodies the ethical principle that each generation should save at a rate it would have preferred previous generations to adopt, balancing current and future welfare35.
Efficiency vs. Growth:
While higher saving boosts output, the Golden Rule emphasizes that maximizing consumption-not output-is the welfare goal. Growth beyond is counterproductive for living standards45.
Key Conditions and Variations
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Simplified Models: Some sources assume zero population growth () or depreciation (), leading to or 24. However, the standard Solow model includes both factors.
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Real Interest Rate Link: Under the Golden Rule, the real interest rate () equals the economy’s growth rate (), ensuring saving equals profit in steady state5.
Criticisms
The Golden Rule assumes:
- No technological progress.
- Perfect substitutability between capital and labor.
- A single representative household, ignoring inequality.
Despite these limitations, it remains a foundational tool for analyzing long-run growth policies34.
References:
- https://www.egyankosh.ac.in/bitstream/123456789/76553/1/Unit-2.pdf
- https://content.patnawomenscollege.in/Economics/GOLDEN%20RULE%20OF%20ACCUMULATION.pdf
- https://www.encyclopedia.com/social-sciences/applied-and-social-sciences-magazines/golden-rule-growth-models
- https://mgcub.ac.in/pdf/material/202005060446103aa42a2e15.pdf
- https://www.albany.edu/~bd445/Economics_301_Intermediate_Macroeconomics_Slides_Spring_2014/Golden_Rule.pdf
- https://www.ignouassignmentwala.in/explain-the-concept-of-steady-state-growth-in-the-solow-model-with-appropriate-diagram-show-that-the-golden-rule-of-phelps-is-not-a-steady-state/
- https://www.scribd.com/document/688864478/GOLDEN-RULE-OF-ACCUMULATION
- https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/neoclassical-growth-theory.asp
- https://www.studyzone.co/ignou-solved-assignment-mec-002-macroeconomic-analysis
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DuSjRjKcGvs
- https://bpchalihacollege.org.in/online/attendence/classnotes/files/1627617200.pdf
- https://es.scribd.com/document/200345633/Neoclassical-Growth-Model
- https://www.coursehero.com/file/56813711/Golden-Rule-of-Capital-Accumulation-Economic-Growthpdf/
- https://jncollegeonline.co.in/attendence/classnotes/files/1621226697.pdf
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kAaw0kU-EXs
- https://webservices.ignou.ac.in/Pre-Question/Question%20Paper%20December%202022/SOSS/MA%20ECONOMICS/MEC-002.pdf
- https://www.egyankosh.ac.in/bitstream/123456789/23016/1/Unit-7.pdf
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qJnrB2kWtbM
- https://www.sfu.ca/~bkrauth/econ808/808_lec1.pdf
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